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Doctrine of Chances

Doctrine of Chances is a United States Federal legal concept based on the premise that the probability of a recurrence of events with the same or similar circumstances pointing to a specific individual is not merely an accident.  The greater the number of similar occurrences pointing to that central figure, the stronger the probability that they occurred by design, not by chance.[1] 

The Doctrine is the basis of this website’s Blog investigations.  What is the improbability of mere chance that the confluence of events and circumstances at a single point in history surrounding the life of Jesus of Nazareth similarly coincided with the Hebrew legacy of the many messianic prophecies, events, and circumstances over the previous 2000?


[1] “Rule 404.  Character Evidence; Crimes or Other Acts.”  Federal Rules of Evidence. Rule 404 (b) (1) and (b) (2). Cornell University Law School.  <>.  

Sullivan, Sean P. “Probative Inference from Phenomenal Coincidence – Demystifying the Doctrine of Chances”.  University of Virginia, 17 May 2013, <>. 

“Doctrine of  Chances.”   Academic.  Academic Dictionaries and Encyclopedias.  2013.  <>.